A 2kw at full power is good to about 30*, top popped, with the heater output blowing in the direction that will allow the heat to get up into the poptop. Downstairs will still be toasty. I've used a 2kw, full power, down to 15* top popped with a decent sleeping bag and was a little chilly but could sleep reasonably. I have gotten more poptop efficiency out of my 2kw by lining the sides of my poptop with
these (a bit cheaper back in the day).
Strictly mountain or a lot of eastern winter camping, use 5kw.